r/BitcoinMining • u/Emphasis-4600 • 17h ago
General Discussion How are you all forecasting hashprice and the next difficulty adjustment? My spreadsheet guesses aren't cutting it
running a small setup, 40 machines at a hosting site. every time i plan upgrades or a new batch i need a guess for hashprice over the next month and what the next couple of difficulty adjustments look like
right now its a spreadsheet: the last few adjustments, a rough hashrate trend, and whatever btc price i feel like typing in lol. its usually way off, mostly because of the btc price part
how do you guys do this? do you just use the estimated next adjustment from the explorers, or does anyone model it properly? and how do you handle btc price in it, one number or a range